Which Way for House Prices? | BTalk Australia

By Phil Dobbie | October 21, 2008

BNET Australia Contributors

Aussie Rules

Biography

BNET Australia Contributors

BNET Australia Contributors
Phil Dobbie has a wealth of radio and business experience. In his BTalk Australia podcast, he provides a lively and insightful view on business issues.
Brian Haverty is editorial director for CBS Interactive Australia and is responsible for the company's BNET and ZDNet Australia sites.
Robert Gerrish is a coach, author and professional speaker and the founder of Flying Solo, an Australian online community for solo business owners.
Melissa Lourenco is the HR manager for CBS Interactive in Australia.
Chris Golis is the author of The Humm Handbook: Lifting Your Level of Emotional Intelligence. He runs seminars and workshops on EQ.
Suzi Dafnis is Community Director of the Australian Businesswomen's Network.
Yvonne Adele helps organisations build a culture of ideas by teaching people at all levels to access their untapped creative thinking skills.
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(12min 40) As part of the plan to drive confidence into the economy the Aussie government is offering up to $21,000 for new home buyers. This on top of the recent 1% drop in interest rates from the Reserve Bank. What does this all mean for house prices?

Today on BTalk Phil Dobbie talks to Noel Dyett, the President of the Real Estate Institute of Australia. Despite the economic outlook and the high level of debt wrapped up in housing he believes there are still reasons to be optimistic about house prices.

Tell us what you think in the Talkback section at the bottom of this post.

For a different view on how where house prices are heading listen to the BTalk podcast with Prof Steve Keen.

Also listen to Alan Moran’s view on how the reserve Bank is doing the wrong thing by lowering rates.

Subscribe to BTalk Australia on iTunes.

Talkback 2 Talkbacks

RE: Which Way for House Prices? | BTalk Australia
What exactly did you expect the president of REIA to say? He HAS to sing from the hymn sheet! C'mon!

For a balanced debate you should try finding a contrarian economist, with data, like Steve and without a vested interest in the result. Can't find one, can you? Is that possibly a sign?

Let's dig a bit...

First, have REIA and their members fund what looks like independent research like BIS.
http://www.ljhooker.com.au/page/buy/respropertyindex

Then release it to the press, who pick up on the story:
http://business.smh.com.au/business/house-prices-tipped-to-defy-rate-rises-20080616-2r6g.html

Strategy: hype and pray the music doesn't stop....

But alas, the music has stopped:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/100789-worldwide-housing-declines-u-s-halfway-down-the-list

Let's hope Steve is wrong, though the pragmatist in me thinks he's probably right.
ZDNet Gravatar
jerrya@...
10/22/2008 07:15 PM
RE: Which Way for House Prices? | BTalk Australia
Thanks for that Jerry - I was trying to be
balanced - we have Steve Keen on a few days
before giving his view. Tnanks for the links
though - I think anyone expecting price hikes
is going to be disappointed.

Anyone trying to follow the links from Jerry
try:
http://business.smh.com.au/business/house-
prices-tipped-to-defy-rate-rises-20080616-
2r6g.html
and http://seekingalpha.com/article/100789-
worldwide-housing-declines-u-s-halfway-down-
the-list
ZDNet Gravatar
phildobbie
10/26/2008 04:34 PM

Talkback - Tell us what you think